Tuesday, August 6, 2019

DrogeMiester's Billboard Analysis - August 10, 2019

The new Billboard charts have arrived and so it's time again for me to give you my thoughts! This is a weekly post where I cover three main sections of the charts: the Billboard Hot 100 top 10, the songs rising on the Hot 100, and the new arrivals. As pertaining to the rising songs, in order to be included, a song has to rise at least two spots between Nos. 11 and 20, five spots spots between Nos. 21 and 50, or 10 spots between Nos. 51 and 100. As pertaining to new arrivals, I used to dedicate myself to covering every single song that debuted, but that started to burn me out, especially with the high number of album bombs, so I've been a lot more selective recently and so far I've received no complaints. However, if I skip a song that you want to hear my thoughts on, feel free to let me know. I'll occasionally mix things up depending on the week, like throwing in a notable re-entry into the rising songs section, but generally this is what I go with. Most of the data I give you comes from Billboard.com, usually Gary Trust's weekly article. If I pull from elsewhere, I'll generally let you know. With all of that out of the way, let's dive in and see what this week has to offer!

Billboard Hot 100 Top 10:



1- "Old Town Road" - Lil Nas X featuring Billy Ray Cyrus (=) -- Now that the record is broken for most weeks at No. 1, it's no longer interesting following this. It's just boring and I'm annoyed that this is No. 1 for an 18th week. Let's get some variety on the charts. Imagine how many different No. 1 hits we'd have these past 18 weeks if "Old Town Road" never existed? Anyways, moving on. Helping this song stay at No. 1 is the remix with RM of BTS that's nicknamed "Seoul Town Road." Lil Nas X claims that's going to be the last remix. First, given that he's already gotten the record, I believe that. Second, it better be. Just let this song die. Numbers-wise, both "Old Town Road" and "bad guy" fell 6 percent in overall chart points, meaning the 1.2-to-1 difference between the two songs from last week remains the same this week. But with no additional remixes or videos on the horizon, I could envision this being the last week at No. 1.

2- "bad guy" - Billie Eilish (=) -- Had "Old Town Road" never existed, it would be Billie Eilish at No. 1 for an eighth week this week. As such, "bad guy" gets an eighth week at No. 2. The record for most weeks spent at No. 2 without having reached No. 1 is 10 weeks. "Work It" by Missy Elliott in 2002 and "Waiting for a Girl Like You" by Foreigner in 1981 share that record. There's two songs with nine weeks and five other songs with eight weeks. The most recent of the bunch is "Thinking Out Loud" by Ed Sheeran, which got stuck behind "Uptown Funk" for eight weeks before falling down. Let's hope Billie doesn't stay on this list as I would love to see her get at least a few weeks at top. But we'll see what happens in the next month or so.

3- "Señorita" - Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello (=) -- Could it be "Señorita" that ends up leapfrogging both "Old Town Road" and "bad guy"? It's quite possible. Although its lagging a bit on streaming when compared to those two, which is why its No. 3. Sales are about even with "bad guy" and its catching up on radio, which is what I'm predicting will remain the song's biggest strength moving forward.

4- "Truth Hurts" - Lizzo (+1) -- Lizzo is also in good position moving forward. I'm curious to see how this will all shake out when "Old Town Road" finally disappears. We could have a bit of a carousel at the time, which I prefer. I'm not sure the exact margins as I'm looking strictly at the sales, radio and streaming charts here, but "Truth Hurts" trails "Señorita" and "bad guy" in streaming, is slightly ahead of both songs on sales, and is between "bad guy" and Señorita" on radio. So I'm going to guess that the margins here are pretty close, outside the fact that "bad guy" is still getting way more streaming than both and is still ahead (and still gaining) on radio. But it's Señorita" that currently has the most momentum on the radio, which I'm guessing will help it retain the lead.

5- "Talk" - Khalid (-1) -- Not in the best position here is "Talk." While it still has a huge margin on top of radio songs for an eighth week, it's slowly starting to slide there and is way far behind on sales and streaming. Its No. 16 on sales and No. 12 on streaming, so that No. 1 radio lead is the only reason why this song is in the top 10 at all.

6- "No Guidance" - Chris Brown featuring Drake (+5) --  I was really excited last week when it looked like we had gotten rid of this song. But not only does it re-enter the top 10, helping kick out "Sunflower" and "If I Can't Have You," but now it soars up to No. 6 with a huge week in sales and streaming that I'm hoping is just due to the arrival of the music video, which impacted the charts this week. Yet this also has more radio than I would like to admit as it's No. 10 on the radio charts, so now I'm scared that this will stick around, which makes me upset that we're giving Chris Brown attention.

7- "I Don't Care" - Ed Sheeran & Justin Bieber (-1) -- With almost no remaining momentum, this song isn't going to last much longer. It's only here because it's still pretty strong on radio. But with "bad guy," "Truth Hurts" and "Señorita" all gaining on radio still, that's not going to last for a whole lot longer. 

8- "Goodbyes" - Post Malone featuring Young Thug (-1) -- I'm a bit surprised that this song is still stalled out here in the bottom half of the top 10. After staying at No. 7 last week following its expected week two drop, I thought it was going to start to slowly climb up, but now it just falls a spot as it doesn't look like it has as much momentum as a Post Malone single usually does. If Post Malone falls out and no longer has a top 10 entry, I won't be upset. He's had way too much time in the region. However, I do enjoy this song more than "No Guidance" and the new cockroach that showed up at No. 10. So I'd rather see Post Malone stick around longer than give way to those two songs.

9- "Sucker" - Jonas Brothers (-1) -- This is in a similar place as "I Don't Care." It's still No. 3 on the radio charts as this has become a radio favorite this year, but it has even less of anything else, so I don't think it has much longer in the top 10.

10- "Ran$om" - Lil Tecca (+9) -- Yup, here's our latest cockroach in the top 10. Luckily streaming is all this song has. It's No. 4 on the streaming charts, behind "Old Town Road," "bad guy" and "No Guidance," but it hasn't even made an appearance on the sales or radio charts. Let's keep it that way. Songs that only get streaming are the songs that show up for a few weeks, hang out in the bottom half of the top 10, then fall out and are never heard of again. Let's just hope that "Ran$om" follows that.


Rising on the Hot 100:





18- "Someone You Loved" - Lewis Capaldi (+2) -- Slowly sneaking up through the top 20 is "Someone You Loved." Given that the seven songs ahead of it all seem to be stalled out or dropping, this seems to be timed well enough to at least sniff the top 10.

34- "Otro Trago" - Sech featuring Darell (+35) -- This is gross. I'm not sure why this song song jumped 35 spots this week, but let's not do something like that again. Out of all the Latinx songs out there, this is not the one that needs to become a mega hit.  

42- "Cash S---" - Megan Thee Stallion featuring DaBaby (+9) -- Cardi B 2.0 had another decent week while Cardi B 3.0 stalled a bit and didn't make this list this week. Both songs are in the 40 range this week and I can handle that for now.

44- "China" - Anuel AA, Daddy Yankee, Karol G, Ozuna & J Balvin (+8) -- At least it's not a 35 spot jump, but seeing this in the top 50 also makes me nervous.

46- "Rearview Mirror" - Jason Aldean (+8) -- This is whatever. I'm not a fan, but I'm also not offended, especially since country songs always have a ceiling and this is not going to be a song that breaks out from that.

51- "The Ones That Didn't Make It Back Home" - Justin Moore (+17) -- I also don't care too much about this one. But at least it has a title that tricks you into thinking it's good.

73- "I Don't Know About You" - Chris Lane (+13) -- I don't know about you, either, Chris.  


New Arrivals:





39- "Gold Roses" - Rick Ross featuring Drake -- Nope.

58- "Hot Shower" - Chance the Rapper featuring MadeinTYO & DaBaby -- Either Billboard glitched this week or my tablet was being dumb because this song, and a few other new arrivals, didn't have an artist listed. So when I went to verify that this is the song that charted, I stumbled upon the lyrics of this. Just reading over the first verse or so already had me annoyed without even listening to it. So of course this is also a nope.

64- "Single Again" - Big Sean -- Poor Big Sean. He's single again. At least I assume that's what he's talking about. I don't care enough to figure out otherwise.

69- "Takeaway" - The Chainsmokers & Illenium featuring Lennon Stella -- It was a pleasant surprise seeing Illenium on the charts this week. Recently I haven't kept up with the EDM charts as much as I have in the past. There's just so much to keep up with that I fell behind. But still, Illenium showed up on those charts quite a bit and I wondered if he was going to eventually breakthrough to the main charts, but he never did. Not until this week, anyways, when The Chainsmokers helped him get there. And honestly I want to say that his involvement in the song is the main reason why this has a nicer, catchier groove, but that's just a guess. The Chainsmokers certainly haven't been on their game in the last couple of years, so it makes sense in my mind. But outside the song sounding nice, the lyrics here are really confusing. The chorus repeats the line "My heart for takeaway," which is a confusing statement on its own. I had to dive more into the lyrics to figure out what it meant and I didn't really like what I heard. "Before I love you, I'm gonna leave you. Before I'm someone you leave behind, I'll break your heart so you don't break mine. Before I love you, I'm gonna leave you. Even if I'm not here to stay, I still want your heart." And that's pretty shallow lyrics there from Andrew Taggart, who doesn't let Lennon Stella have her moment. Lennon Stella is one half of the sister duo Lennon & Maisy, who are mainly known for playing Maddie and Daphne on the musical drama "Nashville." But Lennon's voice was really nice on this song and this could've been a breakout moment for her, but outside a brief moment, Andrew Taggart is always singing along with her, thus stealing her thunder. In addition to the lyrics not being very good, I don't like it when Andrew Taggart sings because he's not good at. So this song is nice musically, but lyrically it really annoys me.

82- "Living" - Dierks Bentley -- For Dierks Bentley's first appearance on the Hot 100 in 2019, he's going back to his 2018 album "The Mountain." Sometimes I don't know why these country acts wait so long in between releasing singles from their albums, but whatever. That 2018 album had the song "Burning Man" featuring Brothers Osborne and that was a decent song. Having Brothers Osborn on it helped, but whatever. "Living" isn't an awful song. There's a nice sentiment there and Dierks voice is just fine. But it feels just a touch generic. Dierks is waking up and taking in how amazing life is. And that's it. It's good to have a song that touches on not taking life for granted, but I feel this was more of a skeleton of a song rather than a fully realized song with a lot of depth and emotion. And he still made sure to throw in a bunch of country isms that bother me. Like waking up and drinking in the rising sun... like whiskey. I mean, why? So I can't get behind this song and I probably will have a hard time remembering it. But at the same time, it's not particularly offensive or bothersome.

85- "Leave Me Alone" - NF -- I don't know why I keep giving these NF songs a chance. The singles leading up to his new album, of which was recently released, were overall not that impressive. Had he experienced an album bomb, I would've ignored it. But for whatever reason, I listened to yet another NF song and again I wasn't impressed. Even though I did give it a listen, I don't feel like analyzing it too much. It's slightly better than some of the other ones, but not by much. His rap is good. His style is better than most rappers. But his content is empty and because of that, his songs don't jump out and grab me. This is the same thing. NF fans will like it, but not me.

89- "Daddy" - Blueface & Rich the Kid -- Definitely not.

94- "All Day Long" - Chance the Rapper featuring John Legend -- After skipping "Hot Shower," I wasn't super interested in the other two songs either, but I was curious enough about a John Legend feature to check out what that was about. He was certainly more appealing than MadeinTYO and DaBaby. As weird as it seems, I almost quit when Chance's first word was "Yep." I actually hate the fact most rap songs start with that. I know, I'm weird. But I continued. And I liked how more musically complex the song was in compared to most rap songs. There was a lot going on in terms of the instrumentation here. But I found Chance's voice really annoying and even though John Legend added a bit of soul to the song, making it a bit of a soul rap, if that's a thing, it wasn't enough for me to overcome what Chance was doing and I don't think the two meshed very well. Also, Chance's lyrics were mostly really stupid and incoherent. I could hardly tell what he was rapping about in this song as it seemed like he jumped from tangent to tangent, discussing whatever random thing was on his mind. So I should've skipped this song. But I didn't. And I kinda regret it.

95- "Do You Remember" - Chance the Rapper featuring Death Cab for Cutie -- Again, curiosity took over here. Death Cab for Cutie? Honestly that's a band that I don't know as well as I probably should, but seeing their name on the Hot 100 caught my attention as they haven't had a song chart on the main Hot 100 since 2008. They've showed up on various rock charts and whatnot, but nothing else. I suppose it's not really the whole band that's a part of this song. Just lead singeer Ben Gibbard doing vocals, but I really like his chorus. It's a more mellow song and his voice fits a relaxed tone as he reminisces about past summers. I was really digging it... until Chance came on and started rapping. He also goes for a slower rap in order to fit the tone of the song and that mostly works. But his problem is his lyrics don't. He's talking about past summers with absolutely zero focus. He jumps all over the place and it gets on my nerves. And again, I find his voice a bit annoying. But I would love to see a version of this song that takes away Chance and is just Ben Gibbard. Maybe he can get his band to do a remix of the song without Chance so that I can add it to my library.

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