DrogeMiester's Billboard Analysis - October 12, 2019

The new Billboard charts have arrived and so it's time again for me to give you my thoughts! This is a weekly post where I cover three main sections of the charts: the Billboard Hot 100 top 10, the songs rising on the Hot 100, and the new arrivals. As pertaining to the rising songs, in order to be included, a song has to rise at least two spots between Nos. 11 and 20, five spots spots between Nos. 21 and 50, or 10 spots between Nos. 51 and 100. As pertaining to new arrivals, I used to dedicate myself to covering every single song that debuted, but that started to burn me out, especially with the high number of album bombs, so I've been a lot more selective recently and so far I've received no complaints. However, if I skip a song that you want to hear my thoughts on, feel free to let me know. I'll occasionally mix things up depending on the week, like throwing in a notable re-entry into the rising songs section, but generally this is what I go with. Most of the data I give you comes from Billboard.com, usually Gary Trust's weekly article. If I pull from elsewhere, I'll generally let you know. With all of that out of the way, let's dive in and see what this week has to offer!

Billboard Hot 100 Top 10:

1- "Truth Hurts" - Lizzo (=) -- It's a sixth week at No. 1 for "Truth Hurts." In previous weeks I've said this song is vulnerable. And I still think it is. But this week it actually rose in all three categories, with the biggest gain coming in sales as it increased 19 percent. I'm not quite sure what sparked this boost, but there must've been something that happened recently with it. We'll see what happens in the upcoming weeks. If you're on the train of thinking this is a rap song, then "Truth Hurts" is one week away from tying Iggy Azalea's "Fancy" for longest run at No. 1 for a female rapper. I actually don't think this is a rap song, so I don't put much weight on that record. I think this song is a hybrid of a few different genres, which is why I think it's here. If you're able to appeal to multiple different musical fan bases, then that's obviously going to help you out.

2- "Señorita" - Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello (=) -- Billboard seems to have given up on reporting what the margins are between the top two songs. Then they decided to make people pay to see some of the charts. So I have nothing to report on here. When Billboard decides to tell me something, I'll relay the message.

3- "Someone You Loved" - Lewis Capaldi (=) -- Same story here. Billboard didn't even report what the numbers are here. I would assume this is in good position to sneak ahead of the two songs in front of it, but I have no idea if its even rising or falling in the individual categories. If I learn something, I'll let you know.

4- "Ran$om" - Lil Tecca (=) -- People are still streaming this song like crazy. And I have no idea why.

5- "No Guidance" - Chris Brown featuring Drake (=) -- Surprise! The whole top five is the same as it was last week. And I'm fine with the top three. But I'd really like it if Nos. 4 and 5 got knocked out.

6- "bad guy" - Billie Eilish (+1) -- Oh my goodness! A song moved on the charts compared to last week! And it's Billie Eilish rising a spot due to "Panini" collapsing a bit this week. And I'm glad Billie stabilized after last week's fall.

7- "Circles" - Post Malone (+1) -- Post Malone also rising a spot thanks to "Panini" falling.

8- "Panini" - Lil Nas X (-2) -- Last week's fall was expected after it hit top five following the music video and the new remix. If there's anything I'll give Lil Nas X credit for, it's knowing how to take advantage of the system to boost his songs. But Lil Nas X can only do so much if he doesn't have a song that's really catching on. So it fell a spot last week. And now it fell two spots this week. To me that seems to say that this song is on its way out, but I'm going to go find some wood to knock on so me saying that doesn't cause it to reverse course and start rising again.

9- "Goodbyes" - Post Malone featuring Young Thug (=) -- This song is still here because there's NOTHING below the top 10 that seems to want to enter the region.

10- "Old Town Road" - Lil Nas X featuring Billy Ray Cyrus (=) -- Same thing here. The charts are stuck this week, meaning this song is only still here because nothing is rising fast enough. Let's hope that changes because I'm ready for some movement here.

Rising on the Hot 100:

13- "INTRO" - DaBaby (+4) -- I learned after my post last week that this song is actually a real song and not just some weird intro thing that somehow chart. DaBaby just decided to name it "INTRO," which is weird to me. But whatever. It only rose this week because of DaBaby's album bomb that I'll be ignoring. Next week will be the real test.

18- "Trampoline" - SHAED (+14) -- Oh, here's a better idea! Let's get "Trampoline" into the top 10 instead! I love that idea! I actually never believed that it would get there because this has been one of those really slow rising songs. And I'm not yet convinced that it'll get over the hump. There's a lot of songs that slowly rise, then camp out in the teens before hitting the top 10. I'm not sure what route this one is going to take. And if it does hit the top 10, I don't know if it will be there for just a few weeks like "Sweet but Psycho" or if it will randomly shoot up to No. 3 like "Someone You Loved." I obviously hope it's the latter, but at this point I'm just happy that its a top 20 hit because that means more and more people are realizing this song exists.

22- "Only Human" - Jonas Brothers (+6) -- Can Jonas Brothers get another top 10 hit? I'd be fine with that. Although top 20 is the more immediate goal, which I assume it'll hit next week. Then it has to work its way through the teens, which is often the toughest part of actually cracking the top 10.

23- "On Chill" - Wale featuring Jeremih (+6) -- I'm in a really dumb mood right now. I saw Jonas Brothers, then I saw Wale and suddenly I think it should be the Jonas Brothers collaborating with Wale instead of Jeremih? Why? Well, because Jonas is like Jonah and Wale is like whale. The whale didn't swallow Jeremiah. It swallowed Jonah. So it only makes sense, right? OK, I'll see myself out.

30- "Good as Hell" - Lizzo (+13) -- In addition to "Truth Hurts" rising in overall chart points this week, "Good as Hell" shoots up to No. 30. That makes me happy because "Good as Hell" is my favorite of the two songs. It also adds to my theory that Lizzo must've performed the two songs somewhere recently in order to cause both of them to get a boost. I do hope that leads this song to continue to rise.

38- "One Thing Right" - Marshmello & Kane Brown (+9) -- Meh.

46- "Prayed for You" - Matt Stell (+8) -- Thanks for praying for me, Matt.

New Arrivals:

19- "BOP" - DaBaby -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

21- "VIBES" - DaBaby -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

28- "TOES" - DaBaby featuring Lil Baby & Moneybagg Yo -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb. Also, Moneybagg Yo? What the heck? Let's never make this guy a thing because that almost takes the cake for dumbest rap name I've seen.

43- "iPHONE" - DaBaby & Nicki Minaj -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

47- "OFF THE RIP" - DaBaby -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

49- "POP STAR" - DaBaby featuring Kevin Gates -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

51- "RAW S---" - DaBaby featuring Migos -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

55- "GOSPEL" - DaBaby featuring Chance the Rapper, Gucci Mane & YK Osiris -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

56- "Writing on the Wall" - French Montana featuring Post Malone, Cardi B & Rvssian -- This is weird combination of human beings. And I'm not interested in hearing how it turned out.

63- "REALLY" - DaBaby featuring Stunna 4 Vegas -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

69- "XXL" - DaBaby -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

73- "PROLLY HEARD" - DaBaby -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.

81- "Chicken Noodle Soup" - j-hope featuring Becky G -- Well this is awkward. Given that I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb, that almost gives me nothing to talk about. But there are two songs I will cover. The first of which is Becky G with... j-hope? I first thought that j-hope was some sort of Latino dude that I've never heard of. But turns out he's one of the 10,000 members of BTS. So we have an odd combination of Spanish and Korean, with both of them singing English every once in a while. And I know I skipped DaBaby's album, but I'm sure that there was probably some better songs from that album than this song because this is annoying. I don't care to translate any of the non-English lyrics, but I'd be willing to guess that they're as meaningless as the English, which doesn't even equate to anything. Then we get the chorus that repeats "Chicken noodle soup. Chicken noodle soup. Chicken noodle soup with a soda on the side." What? This better disappear ASAP because this is more of an annoying earworm than "Old Town Road" and "Baby Shark. And that's saying something.

84- "Heartache Medication" - Jon Pardi -- And we end the week with a country song. And Jon Pardi is singing about drinking at a bar while trying to get over his broken heart. In other words, you've heard this song a thousand times and it's as boring and generic as it comes. But do you know what? I just barely listened to "Chicken Noodle Soup," so this was a breath of fresh air simply because it's actually a real song that can be listened to. More than likely I'll forget this song exists when it leaves the charts. And if it becomes a huge hit, I might get annoyed. But this week I'm fine with it as it puts something else in my head. And it has enough of a folky touch to it to make it a decent song to dance to. So don't get too excited country friends, but this week I'm giving this song a pass.

86- "By My Lonely" - Kevin Gates -- I don't care about Kevin Gates.

89- "THERE HE GO" - DaBaby -- I'm not covering DaBaby's album bomb.