Wednesday, February 5, 2020

DrogeMiester's Billboard Analysis - February 8, 2020

The new Billboard charts have arrived and so it's time again for me to give you my thoughts! This is a weekly post where I cover three main sections of the charts: the Billboard Hot 100 top 10, the songs rising on the Hot 100, and the new arrivals. As pertaining to the rising songs, in order to be included, a song has to rise at least two spots between Nos. 11 and 20, five spots spots between Nos. 21 and 50, or 10 spots between Nos. 51 and 100. As pertaining to new arrivals, I used to dedicate myself to covering every single song that debuted, but that started to burn me out, especially with the high number of album bombs, so I've been a lot more selective recently and so far I've received no complaints. However, if I skip a song that you want to hear my thoughts on, feel free to let me know. I'll occasionally mix things up depending on the week, like throwing in a notable re-entry into the rising songs section, but generally this is what I go with. Most of the data I give you comes from Billboard.com, usually Gary Trust's weekly article. If I pull from elsewhere, I'll generally let you know. With all of that out of the way, let's dive in and see what this week has to offer!

Billboard Hot 100 Top 10:




1- "The Box" - Roddy Ricch (=) -- Yep, this song is No. 1 again. Although it's not the most stable thing at the moment as it fell 11 percent in streaming and 14 percent in sales. Despite seeing that drop in streaming, the total still stands at 67 million U.S. streams, head and shoulders above whatever the competition is. Of note, the song did gain a 38 percent boost on the radio, although said boost is only good enough for 35.2 million audience impressions or No. 25 on the radio charts, so it still has a ways to go there. However, the streaming totals are going to keep this alive for some time.

2- "Life is Good" - Future featuring Drake (=) -- Unfortunately for me, Roddy Ricch's biggest competition is still Future and Drake. I thought this was going to fall off after the debut, but it's stubbornly sticking around. I have no idea what its radio and sales totals are, but Billboard reports that it's up 5 percent on streaming to 43 million U.S. streams. If those numbers keep climbing and Roddy Ricch's numbers keep falling, the two songs could switch spots. But let's hope something else comes in to save us all.

3- "Circles" - Post Malone (+1) -- I'm a bit surprised that this song has stuck around for so long. It got pushed down briefly due to Eminem, but Eminem's collapse this week means "Circles" went back up to No. 3. I don't imagine the legs here will be too much longer, but who knows. It's survived a lot longer than I thought it would.

4- "Memories" - Maroon 5 (+1) -- Taking over on the radio charts is "Memories," which makes complete sense. The radio already was madly in love with Maroon 5 and them making a good, solid pop song means this was bound to happen. The song is obviously not high enough in streaming or sales to compete for the top spot, but as long as the song is king of the radio, I imagine it will at least hang out in the top five for a while.

5- "Someone You Loved" - Lewis Capaldi (+3) -- Speaking of surprises, I have no idea how this jumped up three spots. I thought it was on its way out. Did this somehow get a boost from the GRAMMYs? If not, I have no idea what caused this to get another surge.

6- "10,000 Hours" - Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber (=) -- Hanging steady, and for a lot longer than I originally expected, is this trio. I'm also surprised that it's still here.

7- "Dance Monkey" - Tones and I (=) -- This really needs to get a boost on the charts. I love that it made the top 10 in the first place, but I hope it hasn't plateaued. I feel it should at least have enough momentum to sneak ahead of the two songs in front of it, given that those songs have been around for a lot longer than this one has.

8- "Roxanne" - Arizona Zervas (+1) -- Make this go away.

9- "Don't Start Now" - Dua Lipa (+6) -- Heck yes! This song was one of the highlights from last year and it's only getting started. This is Dua's second top 10, following "New Rules" in 2018, and it absolutely belongs here. This is a powerhouse of a pop song and deserves to be blasted on every radio. "New Rules" peaked at No. 6 for Dua and I would love for this to set a new high for her, breaking the top five. And I feel the top 10 is fragile enough at the moment to open the doors open wide enough to make it happen.

10- "everything i wanted" - Billie Eilish (+13) -- It was an excellent night for Billie at the GRAMMYs as she became only the second artist in history to sweep the four major awards (best new artist, album of the year, record of the year, song of the year). The first artist to pull off that feat was Christopher Cross back in 1981, meaning that Billie was also the first female artist to do that. And I couldn't be happier. I've been on the Billie train ever since hearing "Lovely" in 2018 and I'm glad that the world quickly jumped on board and knighted her as pop queen. Combine that GRAMMYs success with her actual performance of this song at the GRAMMYs and the recent arrival of its new video and that is why this song has shot into the top 10. I'm not sure what the staying power for the song will be moving forward, but I hope it can stick around. Of note, Billie is also performing at the Oscars this Sunday. I'm not sure why since she has nothing to do with anything that was nominated, but I'm down with that. Maybe she'll be premiering her new Bond song there for the upcoming "No Time to Die"?


Rising on the Hot 100:





17- "bad guy" - Billie Eilish (+24) -- Speaking of Billie, I won't repeat everything that I just said, but "bad guy" specifically won GRAMMYs for song of the year and record of the year. It made my top 10 songs of the year list, so I'm of course ecstatic about that. On that note, I don't know how many other songs on this list got a boost from the GRAMMYs as the only part I watched is the last 30 minutes when Billie won everything, but that combined with the disappearance of Eminem and Mac Miller from the charts following their album bombs is the reason why this section is a bit crowded this week.

18- "Blinding Lights" - The Weeknd (+3) -- Not as high of a jump as I would like it to have, but a consistent rise nonetheless. This song is so good that it deserves to cruise into the top 10 and become one of the biggest songs of 2020. So let's make it happen!

32- "Truth Hurts" - Lizzo (+11) -- Did this get a GRAMMYs boost or did it just randomly shoot up on the charts? I honestly don't know.

35- "My Oh My" - Camila Cabello featuring DaBaby (+5) -- Camila is quietly having a good year at the moment. She now has two songs in the top 50 and a third one that debuted this week. Her choice of single releases has been quite random, and I'm not a fan of this one specifically, but it's currently working for me.

39- "Sucker" - Jonas Brothers (+10) -- I'm sure this song got a GRAMMYs boost because this has been here for a long time.

43- "Nobody But You" - Blake Shelton & Gwen Stefani (+33) -- Not a fan of this.

46- "Kinfolks" - Sam Hunt (+7) -- Make this go away.

50- "South of the Border" - Ed Sheeran featuring Camila Cabello (+6) -- Camila's second song in the top 50. Although this is technically Ed Sheeran's song that Camila jumped onto, but whatever. Same thing, right?

52- "Homesick" - Kane Brown (+14) -- Lots of country this week. And Kane Brown is one I've never cared about, so this can go away.

56- "I Hope" - Gabby Barrett (+17) -- I'm happy for Gabby. Let's make this a thing! This is kind of a B-version of Carrie's "Before He Cheats," but I'm not too upset about that.

57- "Slide" - H.E.R. featuring YG (+13) -- Nope.

59- "Heart on Ice" - Rod Wave (+13) -- Nope.

62- "BEST ON EARTH" - Russ & BIA (+17) -- Very much a nope.

63- "OUT WEST" - JACKBOYS featuring Young Thug (+22) -- Why are we letting a JACKBOYS song rise? Let's extinguish this.

65- "What She Wants Tonight" - Luke Bryan (+25) -- Nope.

66- "No Idea" - Jon Toliver (+11) -- Nope.

68- "More Hearts Than Mine" - Ingrid Andress (+18) -- Yes! After a lot of nope just barely, we finally found another song that's worth rising. Country radio really needs to accept more country girls onto their rotation because if there were more songs like this, I would be a lot happier about the genre.

72- "Make Me Want To" - Jimmie Allen (+16) -- Back to more nope.

73- "Say So" - Doja Cat (+19) -- Definitely nope.

74- "We Back" - Jason Aldean (+21) -- I've never liked Jason Aldean.

75- "I Hope You're Happy Now" - Carly Pearce & Lee Brice (+22) -- OK, I'm fine with this. Again, it has more to do with my country girls. I like Gabby and Ingrid's songs better, but this is still fine, even though Lee Brice doesn't add much to the song.

76- "homecoming queen?" - Kelsea Ballerini (+20) -- In case any of you missed my end of year favorite songs list, this one was in the top three, so obviously I'm happy that it had a good week. The song has had an interesting journey on the charts as radios haven't really decided if they want to play it or not following its debut back in September, but I would definitely be in favor of this getting more attention.

79- "Make No Sense" - YoungBoy Never Broke Again (+19) -- Nope.

89- "Easy" - DaniLeigh featuring Chris Brown (+10) -- Can we end Chris Brown's career already? I'm not sure why he even had one in the first place, let alone why we keep enabling him, but he's trash. He's always been trash. And he always will be trash.


New Arrivals:





31- "B.-.-.-.-." - Megan Thee Stallion -- When a song's title is a curse word, you can guarantee I will never listen to it. Especially if it's from a trashy rapper.

34- "Anyone" - Demi Lovato -- There's been a lot of talk about Shakira and J-Lo after their Super Bowl performance. But not enough people are talking about how Demi completely killed it with the National Anthem. So good! And that coming a week after absolutely owning at the GRAMMYs with this performance. If you actually care enough to read these posts, chances are that I don't need to recount Demi's journey of late, but I will say I was torn to pieces with the news that the world almost lost Demi to a drug overdose in 2018. Following that, she's been open and honest with her fans in saying that she's trying to fix herself and get better and now this is her return to music. And it's an absolutely powerful anthem where she cries to the world that nobody is listening to her and that she needs someone there for her. Well Demi, I think I speak for all your fans in saying that we are all listening. We're there for you and we love you. And perhaps she knows this, but I really love this song because sometimes we forget that famous people are humans, too. Demi has been through a lot and it's great to see that she's doing better. If you weren't a fan of Demi, you should be now because not only is this one of the most emotional songs I've heard, it's also one of the most vocally powerful songs I've heard. Demi has one of the best voices in the business and she gives it everything here. And she gave everything on the stage when she performed this at the GRAMMYs, to the point where she was so teared up that she almost couldn't finish. And she had to restart after choking up. I'm not going to predict a song of the year when we're only in the second month, but this one is going to be hard to beat. I was tearing up myself watching Demi perform this.

80- "Letter to Nipsey" - Meek Mill featuring Roddy Ricch -- It's nice that these two have decided to write a letter to Nipsey. But I have no interest.

82- "Chasin' You" - Morgan Wallen -- Generic country.

85- "Before You Go" - Lewis Capaldi -- For some reason, Lewis Capaldi has been a popular person to hate on. Quite frankly, I don't care. I still think think "Someone You Loved" is a good song. Lewis reminds me of a good combination of Ed Sheeran and Adele. And now he gets his second charting song here in the U.S. And if you are one who is annoyed by his style, I don't imagine he's going to convert you with this song. He puts an equal amount of energy into the chorus of this song and personally I love the passion. Many pop artists limp their way through their new songs, delivering passionless performances of generic songs. But Lewis seems to care about what he's doing. And even though the lyrics themselves aren't anything special, thus putting the song a notch below "Someone You Loved" in my book, his vocal prowess makes this song work. Now let's see if he can repeat his most recent success.

88- "Homemade" - Jake Owen -- Generic country.

93- "Underdog" - Alicia Keys -- After going nearly eight years without an appearance on the Hot 100, we're prepping up for more Alicia Keys as her self-titled album "ALICIA" is set for release on March 20, 2020. Now she did have an album in 2016, but it didn't make much of a dent in the musical world and made no hits. But a comeback for Alicia is certainly welcome. Following "Show Me Love" in November, we now have "Underdog" as a second single. Hopefully this one actually gets her more attention because I think this has the ingredients to be a successful pop hit. In terms of the message, this is certainly more than your average pop song as Alicia tries to avoid the generic route by writing something that actually has a bit of meaning. It's a song written to the underdog as Alicia encourages said people to keep going as soon they're going to rise up. I suppose an empowerment anthem like this isn't anything particularly unique, but Alicia's delivery indicates that she actually cares. The song also has a really nice bounce to it with a great vocal performance for Alicia. It's a solid pop song that deserves to guide Alicia right back to the spotlight.

94- "First Man" - Camila Cabello -- I'm having a hard time figuring out exactly what Camila's plan is in regards to her musical direction and choice of singles. Recently she seems to enjoy throwing everything at the wall and seeing what sticks. And I suppose it's working out as she now has three songs on the charts right now, with the other two in the top 50. And now, despite those songs gaining gradual momentum, she's also releasing "First Man" as a single. On her most recent album, released in December 2019, "First Man" is the song that closes the album and it's a solid closer. If you think that Camila is only capable of flashy pop songs, then this song is worth a look as she slows things down in order to give us a sweet ballad where she takes her time to describe a story about what's happening. She also does a great job of being restrained in this song, which I think makes it really work. Granted, I've always had a soft spot for Camila. Ever since she's broke off into her own solo career I think she's mostly done a great job. I like her voice and I think she has a lot of talent. Some might disagree, but that's OK. Music was meant to be subject. There's no right or wrong answer. But for me this is a solid ballad that I would prefer to perform better than the other two songs she has out at the moment.

95- "What If I Told You I Love You" - Ali Gatie -- I don't really remember what this guy has done previously, but this is a love song without a soul. It's boring and not romantic. It also feels like Ali is completely going through the motions here instead of writing something from his heart.

96- "Catch" - Brett Young -- Generic country.

100- "Dive Bar" - Garth Brooks & Blake Shelton -- I like Garth Brooks. But the man is allergic to releasing his music in places that I have access to music. Find me a way to listen to this song and I will more than oblige. I'm sure it's good.

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