Tuesday, February 11, 2020

DrogeMiester's Billboard Analysis - February 15, 2020

The new Billboard charts have arrived and so it's time again for me to give you my thoughts! This is a weekly post where I cover three main sections of the charts: the Billboard Hot 100 top 10, the songs rising on the Hot 100, and the new arrivals. As pertaining to the rising songs, in order to be included, a song has to rise at least two spots between Nos. 11 and 20, five spots spots between Nos. 21 and 50, or 10 spots between Nos. 51 and 100. As pertaining to new arrivals, I used to dedicate myself to covering every single song that debuted, but that started to burn me out, especially with the high number of album bombs, so I've been a lot more selective recently and so far I've received no complaints. However, if I skip a song that you want to hear my thoughts on, feel free to let me know. I'll occasionally mix things up depending on the week, like throwing in a notable re-entry into the rising songs section, but generally this is what I go with. Most of the data I give you comes from Billboard.com, usually Gary Trust's weekly article. If I pull from elsewhere, I'll generally let you know. With all of that out of the way, let's dive in and see what this week has to offer!

Billboard Hot 100 Top 10:




1- "The Box" - Roddy Ricch (=) -- You know, I'm really kinda bored of this song being No. 1. I'm ready for something else. Honestly, I'm still not sure why we have now knighted Roddy Ricch as a superstar. Granted, he's better than some of the other rappers around, but that's not a very high bar to jump over. But alas, he's No. 1 due to extremely streaming numbers. Even though said streaming numbers have fallen 6 percent compared to last week, it's still at 63.2 million U.S. streams. That's a lot of streams for a slightly better than average rap song in its fifth week at No. 1.

2- "Life is Good" - Future featuring Drake (=) -- As much as I'm bored of "The Box" being No. 1, I'll take it for several more weeks as long as it can keep this duo far away from the top spot. Lucky for me, "Life is Good" tumbled 13 percent in streaming this week, down to 37.6 million U.S. streams. So I shouldn't have to fear it going No. 1. I did for a bit last week because it was rising while "The Box" was falling. But now "Life is Good" has fallen harder than "The Box" this week.

3- "Circles" - Post Malone (=) -- I still remain shocked that this is sitting here at No. 3. After conceding the top spot on radio to "Memories" last week, "Circles" takes that top spot right back, although the margins for the two songs are rather small, so they could continue battling for that top spot on the radio for a little while.

4- "Memories" - Maroon 5 (=) -- Like I was surprised that "Circles" is still at No. 3, I'm also surprised that "Memories" has yet to pass it up on the charts. I though that would happen several weeks ago. But I don't mind either song, so they can stick around.

5- "Dance Monkey" - Tones and I (+2) -- OK, here we go! Finally things are getting interesting in the top five! I am waiting for "Dance Monkey" to finally become the 2020 smash hit that it deserves to be and it's one step closer to doing just that. Although it's a long ways away from surpassing "Circles" and "Memories" in the top five. The latter two have radio totals just over 100 million in total audience, neither which is budging to much. "Dance Monkey" has a radio total of just 54.6 million and isn't rising too fast. So we might have a log jam here at the top for some time, but if "Dance Monkey" can at least remain consistent inside the top five, I'll consider that a win.

6- "Someone You Loved" - Lewis Capaldi (-1) -- It's been a long, successful ride for Lewis in the top 10, but it might be time to finally say goodbye. Although with the current status of the top 10 not being too mobile, this could conceivably stay around in the bottom half of the top 10 for another month or so.

7- "Roxanne" - Arizona Zervas (+1) -- I keep waiting for this song to fall out, but now it has rose a spot? We need to kick this worthless piece of trash out of here.

8- "10,000 Hours" - Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber (-2) -- This has stayed around a lot longer than I ever expected it. And for some reason I don't think it's ready to say goodbye just yet as it has a habit of just sticking around.

9- "Don't Start Now" - Dua Lipa (=) -- OK. At least Dua didn't drop out of the top 10. But this needs to be rising higher, not getting stuck at No. 9. At the very least, this should be able to climb higher than the three songs ahead of it.

10- "everything i wanted" - Billie Eilish (=) -- I'm glad to see this still around. Last week it got a boost due to Billie killing it at the GRAMMYs, which means there was a strong possibility that it could've easily dropped right out of the top 10. But I would really love for this to gain enough momentum to stick around.


Rising on the Hot 100:





12- "Ballin'" - Mustard & Roddy Ricch (+4) -- No. We need to stop this at all costs. I'm fine with having new blood in the top 10, but this is not what I mean.

15- "Blinding Lights" - The Weeknd (+3) -- Here's an idea. Instead of letting "Ballin'" sneak into the top 10, let's push "Blinding Lights" ahead of it. This is a song that deserves to be a monster hit in 2020.

17- "Heartless" - The Weeknd (+2) -- While "Blinding Lights" has officially passed "Heartless" on the Hot 100, the latter song is managing to stick around. And I suppose I'm not too terribly angry at that, but "Blinding Lights" is easily 1,000 times better.

18- "The Bones" - Maren Morris (+3) -- Congrats to Maren Morris for having the top country song of the week! Now I'd be curious to see how much further up the charts this can sneak. Usually country songs peak in the teens at the highest, but Maren has already experienced a top 10 before, so this could happen.

19- "Hot Girl Bummer" - blackbear (+4) -- Why in the tarnation is this still around?

23- "Adore You" - Harry Styles (+6) -- Yes! Let's give Harry Styles a hit!

27- "Falling" - Trevor Daniel (+6) -- Go away.

34- "Kinfolks" - Sam Hunt (+12) -- GO AWAY!!!!

41- "Juicy" - Doja Cat (+7) -- I don't think this has enough momentum to do any damage, so I'm not too worried about it being up at No. 41.

44- "RITMO (Bad Boys for Life)" - The Black Eyed Peas & J Balvin (+9) -- Are we really going to make this a hit? That really surprises me. But I guess it kinda makes sense since "Bad Boys for Life" just became a huge box office success with the second highest ever weekend total in January on its opening weekend. But not only that, it's held pretty decently in the weeks following. So I guess the movie's success is bleeding over into the song, which in this case is unfortunate.

52- "BEST ON EARTH" - Russ & BIA (+10) -- Go away.


New Arrivals:





33- "I Do It" - Lil Wayne featuring Big Sean & Lil Baby -- Nope to Lil Wayne.

50- "Only the Young" - Taylor Swift -- This one makes a lot of sense. I saw that Taylor Swift had a new song and I said to myself that this must be from the new Taylor Swift documentary on Netflix. Which, by the way, a friend of mine watched at Sundance and really enjoyed. I've been meaning to get around to it, but have had too many other things on my plate. But it'll happen. As far as the song goes, I'm wondering if the documentary will help provide a little more context to what she's actually singing about because she doesn't do a good job at describing it in her song. She seems to take a more serious tone as she's describing a certain situation, but I didn't quite get what that situation was based on the lyrics. Then most of the song was her repeating the lyrics "Only the young can run." And I also don't know what that means. The vocals by Taylor and the music of the song are both really good. This is a solid song. There's just not a lot of clarity as to what she's singing about, which means the song isn't quite as impactful as some of her songs on her most recent album, which album I really enjoyed. The singles were quite weak, but many other songs on the album were excellent. Maybe I just need to watch the documentary and get back to you all on this one.

60- "Physical" - Dua Lipa -- Dua is setting herself up for an excellent 2020. With "Don't Start Now" currently in the top 10 and "Physical" debuting this week, she's building perfectly to her new album set to debut in April, which will in turn help "Don't Start Now" do even better on the charts. So I'm happy for Dua. She's one of the more talented pop singers and deserves this success. In regards to "Physical," I can't help but think of Olivia Newton-John's "Physical," which was one of the biggest hits of the 80s. Both songs are about the same exact subject matter of "Let's get physical." But while Olivia Newton-John's song doesn't really stand the test of time as it's overly cheesy and dumb, Dua's version is a lot more refined and powerful. I still roll my eyes at said subject matter, but Dua's not overly explicit like many singers are these days, so I give it a pass. I envision this is a song that's going to accomplish exactly what it sets out to do and is otherwise a powerful pop song as long as you don't think too hard about it.

61- "Mahogany" - Lil Wayne -- Nope to Lil Wayne.

69- "King of My City" - A Boogie wit da Hoodie -- Why are we continuing to make this guy a thing?

87- "Mama Mia" - Lil Wayne -- Nope to Lil Wayne.

88- "Funeral" - Lil Wayne -- Nope to Lil Wayne.

89- "Nice to Meet Ya" - Meghan Trainor featuring Nicki Minaj -- Nope. I'll take Niall Horan's song of the same name, stylized the exact same way. Meghan has always been a strange artist that I've never connected with. She had her two seconds in the spotlight and I'm happy that she's been pushed out of it. And yes, I did listen to this song as more of a curiosity as to how bad it was. It's not good. The song is overly choppy and weird, to the point where I'm not sure Meghan fans will even gravitate towards this, but I've been confused as to why they all gravitated towards her in the first place, so maybe I'm not qualified to speak for them.

93- "Get Me" - Justin Bieber featuring Kehlani -- Justin's new album gets released to the world on Valentine's Day. And while I still say that Justin's music has matured a lot over the last five or so years as compared to his early days, I'm not looking forward to this album based on the results of "Yummy," which was an atrocious disaster, as well as seeing the featured vocalists on some of the other songs. But zeroing in on this song specifically, I do think it's a bit strange that Justin chose to include Kehlani on the track. I totally forgot that she was a thing as her spotlight faded quite some time ago. And, well, while this isn't as cringey as "Yummy," it's a song that just doesn't go anywhere. I think it suffers from a bad case of being dull and forgettable. At best, it feels like random album filler that belongs nowhere near the Hot 100. Not a good sign for Justin's album, which I'll probably choose to avoid if he gets an album bomb in a couple weeks. But given how hard "Yummy" has fallen in the last few weeks, I'm not sure if he will.

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